Reality Check (Part 1)

Facts are facts. As well as the Blues are playing, pulling themselves up from dead last in the conference into 12th place only 9 points out of a playoff spot, chances are they ain't gonna make it.

The Blues, with 42 points, are currently nine points out of a playoff spot in the West. Over the last four seasons, it has taken an average of 93 points in the conference to qualify for the eighth seed. Theoretically that means even though the Blues are 10-4-4 for 24 points under Murray, they would need to earn 51 of the remaining 70 points available to reach 93 points.

So lets say the Blues went 20-10-5 over their last 35 games (a pretty damn good record,) they would finish with 87 points. It just doesn't look like enough. If Calgary and Minnesota, currently in 7th and 8th in the conferences, play .500 hockey from here on out they would finish with 88 and 85 points respectively. Throw in the occasional point from an OT loss, and the Blues are done for.

But you know what? I'd take it. Let's make the run, give it our best shot and if we come up short we will say "We just ran out of season. Give us another full run next year and we will make it."